Sports Bets
Buys soft favorites in the hours before a game starts, then rides established leaders once a game is two to three hours in.
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Delphi scans Coinbase event markets around the clock, calculates the odds, runs AI analysis on the shortlist, and only puts capital into positions with a real edge.
This is the live question that starts the workflow: Delphi finds the latest event with a fresh Kimi entry analysis before generating the trade direction.
The scheduled job pulls a live event, runs the Kimi entry analysis, and stores the report that feeds the decision railroad.
Live market with a matching AI entry analysis.
Kimi prices direction from live market context.
The response carries the JSON the app can execute.
Trump is highly likely to say "Canada / Canadian" before Nov 16, 2026, given ongoing US-Canada trade tensions and his frequent public commentary on the topic. The strongest positioning is BUY YES on Canada/Canadian and selective BUY NO on low-probability phrases like "Make Iran Great Again" and "Peace in the Middle East."
As of Tuesday, November 10, 2026 9:00 PM EST, the event goes live Monday, November 16, 2026 at 8:30 AM EST and expires at 10:00 AM EST the same day. The market appears tied to remarks at the UP Summit originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 (per trump-o-meter.com).
Key facts from research:
• Robotics policy push: The Trump administration is actively pursuing a robotics agenda in 2026. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick is "all in" on accelerating robotics development, meeting with CEOs from Boston Dynamics to Apptronik, and the White House is considering an executive order on robotics (Politico, December 3, 2025; Stocktwits, March 5, 2026).
• Trump has already discussed robots publicly: On September 15, 2026, Trump said "The robots are not going to be taking over the world" during a phone call with Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang at the All-In Summit (The Media Line, September 15, 2026).
• White House AI/robotics initiatives: A July 2026 White House release detailed plans for "AI-Driven Autonomous Laboratories" leveraging "robotics, edge AI, and real-time analysis" across multiple agencies.
• Canada trade tensions: Trump has consistently and frequently mentioned Canada/Canadian in public remarks throughout 2025-2026 due to ongoing trade disputes, tariffs, and renegotiation discussions. This is a recurring staple of his rhetoric.
• Uranium: Nuclear energy and uranium have been discussed in energy policy contexts but less frequently in Trump's direct remarks.
• Crypto/Bitcoin: Trump has expressed support for crypto but mentions are sporadic and event-dependent.
• Peace in the Middle East: While a policy priority, this specific phrase is not a Trump verbal signature.
Event thesis: Given the administration's active 2026 robotics push, the Commerce Secretary's meetings with robotics CEOs, and the existing Genesis Mission AI infrastructure, "Robot/Robotic/Robotics" has elevated probability for this specific event—especially if the UP Summit focuses on tech/manufacturing policy. However, "Canada/Canadian" remains the highest-probability mention due to Trump's persistent trade-focused rhetoric. "Make Iran Great Again" is virtually impossible (Trump has never used this phrase). "Peace in the Middle East" is unlikely as a verbatim quote.
| Choice | Market Ticker | Model View | Expected Outcome | Trade Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peace in the Middle East | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-PEAC | Low | Unlikely | BUY NO |
| Uranium | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-URAN | Medium | Possible but not probable | BUY NO |
| Prediction Market / Predictive Market | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-PRED | Low | Unlikely | BUY NO |
| Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MARI | Low | Unlikely | BUY NO |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ROBO | High | Likely given admin robotics push | BUY YES |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-VIVE | Medium | Possible if discussing policy | NO TRADE |
| Make Iran Great Again | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MAKE | Low | Virtually impossible | BUY NO |
| UFO / UAP | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-UFO | Low | Unlikely | BUY NO |
| Zohran / Mamdani | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ZOHR | Low | Unlikely | BUY NO |
| Canada / Canadian | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CANA | High | Highly likely | BUY YES |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CRYP | Medium | Possible but not core topic | NO TRADE |
| Ilhan / Omar | KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ILHA | Low | Unlikely | BUY NO |
Probability vs. Market Price Analysis:
• Robot / Robotic / Robotics (KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ROBO): Market implies ~18-19% probability. My model: 55-65% probability. The administration's active robotics EO planning, Lutnick's CEO meetings, and Trump's prior public robot comments (September 2026 All-In Summit) make this massively mispriced. The market appears to be treating this as a random word rather than a policy priority.
• Canada / Canadian (KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CANA): Market implies ~69-71% probability. My model: 80-85% probability. Even at this elevated price, there's modest edge given Trump's relentless Canada trade commentary. However, the upside is capped.
• Make Iran Great Again (KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MAKE): Market implies ~2-4% probability. My model: <0.5% probability. The NO at 0.96-0.98 offers poor risk/reward due to wide spread, but directionally correct.
• Peace in the Middle East (KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-PEAC): Market implies ~5-6% probability. My model: ~3-4% probability. Slight edge to NO.
• Uranium (KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-URAN): Market implies ~11-12% probability. My model: ~8-10% probability. Marginal NO edge.
Strongest payoff asymmetry: The Robot/Robotic/Robotics market at 18c YES offers the largest probability gap. The administration's 2026 robotics push is concrete and ongoing—this is not speculative. A robotics-focused executive order has been under active consideration since late 2025, and the UP Summit (the event context) is tech-oriented.
Strategy: Core position is BUY YES on ROBO. Complementary positions: BUY YES on CANA (high-confidence, lower return), and BUY NO on MAKE, PEAC, PRED, MARI, UFO, ZOHR, ILHA (scatter of high-confidence NOs to build a book).
Buy YES on Robot/Robotic/Robotics (KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ROBO) as the primary position—the administration's active 2026 robotics policy push and Trump's prior public robot comments create a 3x probability gap versus market pricing. Layer BUY YES on Canada/Canadian for high-confidence diversification, and BUY NO on the tail of clearly unlikely phrases to build a balanced independent multi-outcome book.
{
"event_info": {
"event_ticker": "KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16",
"event_title": "Will Trump say specific phrases before Nov 16, 2026?",
"event_choice_type": "independent_multi_outcome_choice",
"event_outcome": "Robot/Robotic/Robotics and Canada/Canadian are the most likely phrases given Trump's active robotics policy push and persistent Canada trade commentary.",
"confidence_score": 68,
"trade_summary": "Buy YES on ROBO and CANA; Buy NO on MAKE, PEAC, PRED, MARI, UFO, ZOHR, ILHA; No trade on VIVE and CRYP.",
"justification": "The Trump administration is actively pursuing a 2026 robotics executive order with Commerce Secretary Lutnick meeting robotics CEOs, and Trump has already publicly discussed robots in September 2026. Canada/Canadian is a verbal staple due to ongoing trade disputes. Other phrases are either politically implausible (Make Iran Great Again), outside Trump's typical vocabulary (Prediction Market), or unrelated to current priorities."
},
"market_breakdown": {
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-PEAC": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-URAN": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-PRED": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MARI": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ROBO": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-VIVE": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-MAKE": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-UFO": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ZOHR": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CANA": {
"market_direction": "buy_yes"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-CRYP": {
"market_direction": "no_trade"
},
"KXTRUMPSAY-26NOV16-ILHA": {
"market_direction": "buy_no"
}
}
}
The JSON is the bridge between the LLM and the algorithmic app: each ticker gets a deterministic direction, then the execution engine can route YES or NO trades without rereading the report.
Buy YES on ROBO and CANA; Buy NO on MAKE, PEAC, PRED, MARI, UFO, ZOHR, ILHA; No trade on VIVE and CRYP.
The report is only the first layer. Delphi routes each live event through a set of large language models, then converts their analysis into deterministic instructions the algorithm can price, validate, execute, and monitor.
Our LLM stack reviews the live event, pricing, liquidity, and the evidence behind each contract, and every report is grounded in current market data before it can feed a trade.
Structured output maps each ticker to a YES or NO signal with a confidence score, which your algorithm's rules then check. Signal analysis only, not a recommendation.
The algorithm enters only when direction, entry price, sizing, and risk limits all align, then monitors the position through to exit or settlement.
Every game Delphi trades walks the same path — found, priced, funded, guarded, entered, watched and closed or settled — with nothing skipped and nothing left to impulse.
Illustrative walkthrough — not live trades or results.
SYSTEM VITALS
TODAY
32 / 5
closed trades last session
WEEK
85 / 25
week-to-date record
MONTH
264 / 94
month-to-date record
Simulated / paper results, gross of fees. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations and do not represent actual trading. Full disclosures.
P/L Rate
net vs gross P&L, last 30 days
Avg Trade Length
average hold, last 30 days
Win Rate
closed trades green, last 30 days
Monthly Balance Change
balance change, month to date
Delphi lets you move from a Coinbase event into its market children, inspect the odds and implied chances, then create the contracts you want to trade. You can build manually through the UI while Delphi keeps the position, PnL, and market movement under active monitoring.
Start from a live event, review its child markets, and choose the exact contracts you want to create.
Use the UI to configure YES or NO exposure, sizing, targets, and contract-specific risk rules.
Visualize price, odds, implied probability, volume, and movement across each market child.
Track realized and unrealized PnL, define exits, and keep risk visible as each contract moves.
Compare contract behavior against event metadata, market state, and live pricing signals.
Delphi keeps watching created contracts after entry, surfacing changes that matter for execution and risk.
Delphi isn't just about executing trades; it's about fostering a mindful trading experience. Equip yourself with tools and resources to navigate the emotional challenges of trading, promoting resilience and clear-headed decision-making.
Capture your trading journey, learn from experiences, and refine your approach with Delphi's integrated reflective journaling feature.
Personalize your trading strategies with detailed notes, ensuring clarity and adaptability in your decision-making process.
Stay focused and organized with timely reminders, helping you stay on top of important market events and trading tasks.
Start each trading day with a dose of inspiration and motivation from Delphi's daily messages, fostering a positive mindset for success.
Maintain accountability and track your progress through regular check-ins, facilitating reflection and continuous improvement in your trading journey.
Protect your investment and manage risk effectively by setting automated shutdown limits to prevent further losses beyond your predefined threshold.
Buys soft favorites in the hours before a game starts, then rides established leaders once a game is two to three hours in.
Trades same-day multi-outcome Total Runs markets, both before first pitch and during the first hour of play.
Trades same-day tennis round markets: heavy favorites before the match, and underdogs still priced in a lean band once play is underway.
Focuses on Trump mention markets, filtered for independent multi-choice contracts with relevance and liquidity.
Builds baskets of likely YES phrases and high-conviction NO fades around a scheduled speech or interview.
Covers FOMC rate decision markets alongside daily and monthly 2Y, 5Y, 10Y and 30Y Treasury yield strike ladders.
Targets scheduled releases such as CPI, PCE inflation, initial jobless claims, gas and diesel prices, and TSA passenger volumes.
Trades recurring monthly consumer releases, including card spend, app downloads, foot traffic and point-of-sale growth.
Trades markets on AI market share, benchmark leaderboards, and hourly GPU compute pricing ladders.
Targets short-cycle index and FX level markets that settle at set times of day, looking for same-day repricing.
Covers legislative passage, executive actions, confirmation hearings, shutdowns, and presidential approval milestones.
Every six hours, Delphi asks Gemini for an entry analysis on Mentions events that don't have one yet, using your own Gemini API key. Analysis only, not a recommendation.
Algorithms can use LLM-based entry conditions, which request an entry signal on the event that your rules check before any order is prepared.
Entry rules work on YES/NO price bands, from coin-toss and momentum zones to deep-value and high-confidence contracts.
Conditions check the bid-ask spread so algorithms can favor tight markets and avoid wide, thin ones.
Compare traded volume with open interest and screen by lifetime volume and open-interest tiers.
Detect short-term moves by comparing the current ask and bid against the last traded price on each side.
Filter markets by time to expiry, from under an hour to under a week, and skip contracts about to close.
Combined, multi-factor conditions tuned for each sports algorithm, such as pre-game favorite value and total-runs price momentum.
Run an algorithm in its original direction, force all-YES or all-NO, or flip its picks to the opposite side.
Contracts are sold once they reach their profit target percentage, and only marked closed after a full exit fill is confirmed.
With take profit enabled, a contract above its dollar target is sold when its profit starts trending down, not while it is still rising.
Optionally sells contracts that have held a minimum dollar profit for a set duration, so wins aren't left open until settlement.
Exit conditions can take profit when YES or NO odds rise above 90¢ or cut a position when they fall below 30¢.
Schedule a position to be sold at a chosen date and time.
For events with a known start time, exit checks begin only once the event is live.
Exit decisions are skipped when a market snapshot is more than 30 minutes old, so stale odds never trigger a sale.
Entry prices are synced with your Coinbase position average, and suspect cost-basis values are held back from driving exits.
Hourly, Coinbase settlements are matched to open contracts to close them and record their final P/L.
Each algorithm runs with its own maximum spend and maximum loss, drawn from your allocation settings.
Algorithms can set a maximum entry price per market so they don't buy contracts that are already priced near certainty.
Cap how many trades an algorithm opens in a single market to avoid piling into one outcome.
Algorithms can inspect live orderbook depth before entering to confirm there is liquidity at the price.
An order is placed only when the side being bought has a live ask between $0.01 and $0.99.
Markets that return unfilled orders go on a cooldown and are capped at a set number of retries per day.
Sports algorithms re-check event timing at dispatch, so delayed or rescheduled games don't trade outside their window.
Resting orders are checked against their Coinbase order state every few minutes and promoted to active once filled.
In paper mode, orders fill inside Delphi against Kalshi demo exchange quotes, so strategies can be tested without real money.
Get notified through your own Discord webhook when contracts hit their profit target, take profit, or trigger a scheduled sell.
Every contract keeps a timeline of key events, from entry and fills to blocked exits and the reason each exit fired.
At entry, Delphi archives the market data and indicator values the algorithm saw, so you can review why a trade was taken.
Orders for active contracts are pulled from Coinbase every minute and their status changes recorded, then moved into order history.
Each contract shows its entry and exit trading fees, taken from the recorded Coinbase order responses where available.
Completed contracts are re-checked hourly so their recorded profit and loss stays correct.
Intraday cashflow is updated throughout the day, and a revenue table is written at the end of each day.
Candlestick data for events and markets is collected and archived for later review.
Every Saturday, a summary of closed-contract wins, losses and P/L is generated for the performance figures shown on this page.
Share your read on a game, a Fed decision or a mentions market, and how your YES/NO contracts on Coinbase settled.
Attach odds charts, orderbook screenshots or files to a post to show why you took a side.
Tag posts with hashtags like #NFL, #FOMC or #CPI and @mention traders, so takes on the same event stay together.
Write your pre-game or pre-release take ahead of time and schedule it to post before the event goes live.
Like and reply to posts, share them with your followers, or send one straight into a private conversation.
Ask how others set odds bands, bet direction, entry price caps and spend limits on the Delphi algorithms.
Filter forums by unanswered questions, popular this week, your own questions, threads you have joined and favorites.
Message a trader one-to-one or start a group to compare picks before an event starts, with file attachments.
Follow event traders whose calls you want to track, see their activity, and get suggestions for who to follow.
Delphi is an automated prediction market trading platform that allows users to create and execute trading strategies using AI, algorithms, and real-time data. It simplifies trading by automating buy and sell decisions based on predefined criteria.
Absolutely! Delphi is designed for traders of all experience levels. We offer user-friendly features and resources to help beginners get started while providing advanced tools for seasoned traders.
Delphi supports a wide range of trading strategies, including manual and automated ones. You can set strategies based on technical indicators, price movements, and more to suit your trading style.
Setting automated buy and sell schedules is easy on Delphi. Define your parameters, such as profit targets and stop-loss levels, and let the platform handle the rest.
Yes, Delphi offers robust risk management features. You can set stop-loss orders, define risk tolerances, and protect your investments while trading.
Delphi uses Coinbase's APIs for executing buys and sells, ensuring seamless and reliable order execution on the prediction market.
Absolutely. Delphi provides real-time alerts and notifications for strategy events and important market developments, keeping you informed at all times.
Delphi offers detailed performance tracking, including statistics and insights. You can analyze profit and loss, strategy efficiency, and historical data to evaluate your strategies.
Yes, we prioritize data security. Delphi employs industry-standard encryption and security measures to protect your data and account information.
To get started, sign up for an account on Delphi's platform, explore the features, and begin creating and executing your trading strategies. We also offer resources and tutorials to help you on your trading journey.
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